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Dear Credit
Professional,
This newsletter
contains information to benefit credit and risk management professionals,
and is being sent to you as a contact of Trade Risk Group, a leading
specialty broker of credit insurance.
BANKRUPTCY
AND ECONOMIC NEWS
IMPACT
OF KATRINA ON THE US ECONOMY
Dr. David C. Garlow from AIG Global Trade and Political Risk Insurance
wrote a paper earlier this month outlining the impact of Hurricane
Katrina on the overall economy. To receive an electronic copy, please
email a request to me at gene.ferraiolo@traderiskgroup.com.
BANKRUPTCY
ACT'S AFFECT ON BUSINESS
Some major provisions in the Bankruptcy Act of 2005 affect Chapter
11 business bankruptcies:
Strict new rules
place financial and other limits on the corporate practice of offering
retention bonuses to executives who stick with a company during
restructuring. Moreover, those executives now must prove that they
have a competing job offer to be eligible for retention pay.
Bankrupt companies
must now move more quickly. Their exclusive right to file a reorganization
plan may no longer be extended beyond 18 months. That may be plenty
of time for most overleveraged companies, but not for unplanned
"free-fall" cases. This may harm companies with significant
operational issues like airlines, for example, or heavy manufacturing
companies that have to negotiate with unions. Companies like these
may find themselves pressed for time before predatory creditors
submit their own plans. A provision that gives firms just 210 days
to accept or reject a lease without the landlord's consent is likely
to put a time crunch on troubled retailers as well.
The act also
deleted "investment banker" from the list of those whose
conflict of interest make them ineligible to advise bankrupt firms.
As a result, even if they previously underwrote the failed company's
securities, investment banks may now compete with boutique firms
to act as restructuring advisors.
Jim Williams,
director of BDO Seidman's Financial Recovery Services, worries that
the code is moving away from its traditional emphasis on restructuring
and toward asset sales. "The notion that Chapter 11 was designed
presumptively to permit the restructuring of existing business will
be a quaint concept", he says. "Now, Chapter 11 is going
to be primarily an M&A tool."
- CFO Magazine
COFACE
RELEASES SECTOR RISK ANALYSIS
In its September 2005 newsletter, credit insurance underwriter Coface
reports that the quality of sector risks has deteriorated moderately.
The upsurge in oil prices has increased production costs for companies,
which have also been contending with less dynamic world demand and
fierce competition. Specifically, the following three sector ratings
have deteriorated since the spring:
CHEMICALS
- downgraded from "A" to "A-". Business
activity turned sharply down in the first half of this year. That
downturn is attributable to the world industrial activity slowdown
and a destocking phenomenon, affecting Europe the most. Moreover,
the financial health of downstream companies has suffered from the
fact that their margins have been squeezed between high staple commodity
prices and difficulties encountered in passing on cost increases
to customers.
PHARMACEUTICALS
- downgraded from "A+" to "A". The
pharmaceutical industry's problems are not immediate, but are nonetheless
quite real: patent expirations for blockbuster drugs, the growing
market share of generic sales, increased cost of therapeutic risk
prevention, and controls on spending by social protection institutions.
STEEL
- negatively watchlisted at "A". World prices
have gradually declined since spring due to a marked slowdown of
world demand (a rise of 3.7% is expected in 2005, as compared to
a 10% increase in 2004) and China's switch from net importer to
net exporter status. While the industry will likely reach a production
equilibrium state by year-end, weaker prices in conjunction with
continued cost increases (iron ore, coke, and energy) will affect
company earnings.
Other
Sector ratings:
AIR TRANSPORT:
C-
CAR INDUSTRY: B
COMPUTERS: B
CONSTRUCTION: B-
ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS: A
MASS DISTRIBUTION: A-
MECHANICAL ENGINEERING: A-
PAPER: A-
TELECOMMUNICATIONS: B
TEXTILES: C
CLOTHING: C-
DELPHI
CORP.'S BANKRUPTCY LOOKING MORE LIKELY
As reported on Bloomberg.com today, signs are accumulating that
suggest the biggest US auto-parts supplier is moving closer to a
Chapter 11 filing by mid-October, and perhaps any day.
Delphi has had
cumulative net losses of $5.7 billion over the last 4 quarters,
and has lost money in three out of the last four years. The reason
for the losses is simple: In the midst of strong consumer demand
for vehicles, Delphi's costs, particularly for labor in the US,
are out of whack because of union contracts that pay workers and
retirees some of the world's most generous health-care, pension,
and other benefits. In speeches last week, CEO Steve Miller seemed
to be setting the stage for the type of bankruptcy he intends to
conduct if needed.
AFTERSHOCK
Facing huge costs for rebuilding its Katrina-devastated systems
along the Gulf Coast, power and gas utility Entergy Corp. will consider
filing for bankruptcy protection for its New Orleans unit. The company
estimates that it will cost up to $1.1 billion to replace electric
and gas facilities.
SOFT
LANDING
Foamex International, a manufacturer of plastics and cushioning
for beds, carpets, and cars, filed for Chapter 11 protection earlier
this month, reaching an agreement with creditors that will let it
deleverage its balance sheet. Under the plan, senior secured noteholders
will convert their debt into almost all of the reorganized company's
equity.
HITS
THE FAN
Four related Avilla companies, manufacturers of fertilizers, peat,
topsoil, sand and composted manure, filed Chapter 11 earlier this
month. The companies had planned to expand their product lines,
but ran out of operating capital
OTHER
NOTABLE BANKRUPTCIES
Delta and Northwest Airlines - two of the nation's largest carriers
La Voz Nueva (Denver, CO) - Denver's oldest and largest Hispanic
weekly newspaper.
SeaSpecialties (Miami, FL) - smoked fish company
Russell-Stanley Holdings - manufacturer of industrial containers.
Cloverleaf Transportation (Chester, NY) - regional trucking company.
Birch Telecom (Kansas City, MO) - telecommunications company
NVE Pharmaceuticals (NY) - manufacturer of ephedra-based Stacker
2 pills.
Asarco - copper miner
CREDIT
MANAGEMENT BASICS
STOPPING
GOODS IN TRANSIT
Let's say that
you have just released a shipment to a customer, and the goods will
be in transit for a few days. However, the day after you ship, you
are informed that the customer has financial problems, may be insolvent,
and will probably not be able to pay for this shipment. What do
you do? What if the goods had already been delivered? Is there a
difference if your buyer has already filed for bankruptcy?
The law governing
the relationship between buyers and sellers is the Uniform Commercial
Code (UCC). Under the UCC, when you discover that a buyer is insolvent,
you can stop the delivery of goods which are in transit. So, in
this situation, you can stop the goods which are in transit.
When the goods
have already been delivered to the buyer's location, you can still
recover them by making a demand for recovery within 10 days of the
goods' delivery. This reclamation seems straight forward, but it
is not, as it is subject to the jurisdiction of the Bankruptcy Court.
The Court may decide that the goods are needed for the restructuring
of the buyer, in which case you should be granted a priority for
payment in bankruptcy proceedings rather than a return of the goods.
Be aware that
many buyers will have a UCC filing in their home state which will
grant their lenders a security interest in their inventories of
finished goods and raw materials. These filings will generally have
a clause that gives the lender a security interest in "after
acquired property", which would effectively take place when
title passes to the buyer. Your only chance of recovering goods
is to strictly comply with the notification requirements of the
UCC and the Bankruptcy Code.
- James Hopkins;
"Credit Today" September 2005
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
BUSINESS
ETIQUETTE IN MEXICO - PART 1
North Americans
doing business in Mexico should be aware of some particulars of
Mexican business culture, as follows:
MAKING
APPOINTMENTS
Mexicans place considerable reliance on personal relationships.
To develop good personal relationships (not just superficial contacts),
it is critical for a businessperson to secure credible personal
introductions to appropriate Mexicans in the organization in which
he or she wants to do business. These introductions ar suitable
when arranged by a mutual friend or an appropriate professional.
Many Mexicans
treat appointments with foreigners as tentative until they know
that their person is actually in Mexico. When you arrive, call to
confirm the appointment or send a confirming fax.
Punctuality
is not much of a priority in Mexican business culture. For business
meetings, Mexicans generally try to match their North American counterpart
by being on time. For social events, however, arrive at least 30
minutes late.
An important
word for foreigners to understand is "manana", which can
mean "morning", "tomorrow", or simply "later".
One should understand also that a Mexican, not wanting to be unkind,
may substitute "manana" for "no".
CONVERSATION
Remember that we are the visitors, and our hosts will appreciate
our respecting their country, their institutions and their culture.
If you arrive a day early to see a bit of the country and demonstrate
an interest in learning more about it, your host will usually respond
positively to you. Welcome first topics include positive comments
about the city and the people you met, Mexican scenery and landmarks,
and sports (particularly Mexican "futbol". Talking about
the weather is not as accepted as it is in North America - Mexico
City has a significant air pollution problem, and Mexicans are not
proud of it. Obviously, avoid talking about religion, Mexican politics,
The Mexican-American war, and illegal aliens.
Mexicans are
often curious about comparing the relative prices of items sold
in Mexico and other countries. Don't be surprised if you are asked
about the price of certain goods in your home country.
In future issues,
we'll discuss other topics such as Addressing Others, Gift Giving,
and Entertaining.
CREDIT
INSURANCE NEWS
MARKET
CONDITIONS
Current market conditions in credit insurance continue to be favorable.
The relatively low claims activity in the last few years coupled
with increased competition has resulted in a significant decrease
in credit insurance rates and a bullish appetite for providing credit
limits. If you are interested in taking a look at how credit insurance
can benefit your company, please contact Chris Drazek at 215.860.1900
TRADE
RISK GROUP NEWS
FOCUS
ON: Publishing Industry
Trade Risk Group
has developed a particular expertise in brokering credit insurance
policies for the publishing industry. The publishing industry presents
some unique challenges for underwriters, and TRG has developed a
template for structuring policies that meets the needs of both the
Insured and the underwriters. If you are in this industry and you
would like to talk with us about your needs, please call Kevin van
Norstrand at 845.229.8078.
TRG
LOOKING FOR PRODUCERS
Trade Risk Group continues to expand, and we are looking for experienced
credit insurance producers. If you are interested in joining one
of the industry's premier brokers, please contact Gene Ferraiolo
at 610.353.1785
THOUGHT
AT THE BOTTOM
Excellence
is an art won by training and habituation. We are what we repeatedly
do. Excellence, then, is not an act, but a habit.
- Aristotle |